Vicenza vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 1
VIC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
TRE
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TRI
5 - 1
VIC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
VIC
0 - 0
GRO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
BAR
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 1
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MES
1 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 0
MES
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MES
3 - 3
MOD
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |