Campeonato de Portugal Grupo A round 19

Vianense vs Tirsense analysis

Vianense Tirsense
43 ELO 45
-23.7% Tilt -11.5%
6471º General ELO ranking 5353º
145º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
29.5%
Vianense
27.6%
Draw
42.9%
Tirsense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
Vianense
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.9%
Win probability
Tirsense
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vianense
-21%
+14%
Tirsense

Points and table prediction

Vianense
Their league position
Tirsense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
11º
35
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vitória SC B
56
56
100%
USC Paredes
52
52
100%
Braganca
44
44
100%
Rebordosa
42
42
100%
Brito SC
40
40
100%
Vianense
36
36
100%
Tirsense
35
35
0%
Vila Real
35
35
0%
Os Limianos
34
34
100%
Pevidém
11º
28
28
10º
100%
Joane
10º
28
28
11º
100%
Os Sandinenses
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Dumiense FC
13º
23
24
13º
100%
Atlético Arcos
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vianense
Tirsense
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vianense
Tirsense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vianense
Vianense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
PEV
Pevidém
1 - 2
Vianense
VIA
50%
25%
25%
40 44 4 0
02 Feb. 2025
BRI
Brito SC
2 - 0
Vianense
VIA
39%
27%
34%
41 41 0 -1
26 Jan. 2025
VIA
Vianense
2 - 1
Vila Real
VIL
35%
28%
37%
40 41 1 +1
19 Jan. 2025
JOA
Joane
0 - 1
Vianense
VIA
30%
23%
47%
40 31 9 0
12 Jan. 2025
VIA
Vianense
1 - 0
Braganca
BRA
40%
26%
34%
39 39 0 +1

Matches

Tirsense
Tirsense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
TIR
Tirsense
1 - 0
Vila Real
VIL
46%
27%
27%
45 41 4 0
02 Feb. 2025
JOA
Joane
0 - 0
Tirsense
TIR
21%
22%
57%
45 30 15 0
26 Jan. 2025
TIR
Tirsense
0 - 1
Braganca
BRA
53%
26%
21%
46 39 7 -1
19 Jan. 2025
VSC
Vitória SC B
2 - 1
Tirsense
TIR
58%
22%
21%
46 49 3 0
12 Jan. 2025
TIR
Tirsense
3 - 3
Rebordosa
REB
41%
29%
30%
46 45 1 0