VfR Mannheim vs SC Sperber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
SCH
4 - 1
VFR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 2
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
DAR
3 - 0
VFR
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
VFR
2 - 1
MUN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 1974 |
RVO
5 - 1
VFR
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
SC Sperber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
SCS
2 - 0
OSN
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
BAR
2 - 0
SCS
82%
12%
5%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
SCS
2 - 2
LUB
32%
30%
38%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
OWI
0 - 0
SCS
72%
20%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
SCS
1 - 4
CEL
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |