VfR Mannheim vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
BAY
2 - 5
VFR
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
VFR
0 - 3
OFC
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
KIR
1 - 1
VFR
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
VFR
0 - 0
SCN
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
VFR
0 - 0
WAC
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1997 |
UNT
0 - 1
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1997 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MEP
45%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
KFC
2 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ZWI
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
M05
2 - 0
KÖL
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |