VfR Garching vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
NUR
2 - 3
VRG
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VRG
2 - 1
SCH
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
BAY
2 - 0
VRG
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VRG
0 - 1
BAY
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
VRG
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
WUR
3 - 0
AUG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
WUR
1 - 0
EIN
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 2
WUR
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
WUR
2 - 1
ILL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ING
1 - 1
WUR
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |