VfR Garching vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 3
VRG
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VRG
1 - 2
BAY
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VRG
2 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MEM
3 - 0
VRG
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 1
VRG
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 1
EIN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NUR
3 - 3
ILL
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
NUR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NUR
1 - 1
AUG
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
186
4 - 2
NUR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |