VfR Garching vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
5 - 2
VRG
30%
24%
47%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
VRG
3 - 1
ILL
39%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
VRG
3 - 2
HEI
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCP
1 - 3
VRG
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 1
ING
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NUR
2 - 2
BAY
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BAY
2 - 0
SCH
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ILL
3 - 2
BAY
37%
24%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 2
FCP
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ING
1 - 4
BAY
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |