VfR Garching vs Affing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Garching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 5
VRG
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VRG
1 - 1
ISM
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SON
1 - 5
VRG
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VRG
4 - 0
HAH
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DJK
2 - 1
VRG
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
UNT
6 - 1
AFF
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
AFF
1 - 3
RAI
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFF
4 - 2
BOG
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ISM
2 - 2
AFF
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AFF
2 - 0
WOL
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |