VfR Bürstadt vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Bürstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
ROT
0 - 2
BUR
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1984 |
BUR
1 - 2
HAN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
BUR
48%
21%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 0
VIK
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
VIK
1 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1984 |
HAN
4 - 2
FCN
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1984 |
FCN
0 - 0
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
FCN
0 - 2
BVB
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
KAI
4 - 2
FCN
79%
14%
8%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
FCN
1 - 6
HSV
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |