VfR Aalen vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 1
SSV
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 2
VFR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
3 - 0
FCU
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
VFR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 1
ING
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SGD
2 - 1
PAD
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FSV
3 - 1
SGD
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SGD
1 - 0
COT
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SGD
3 - 2
STP
36%
27%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |