VfR Aalen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
VFR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
F95
3 - 1
VFR
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 1
FSV
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 0
VFR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 1
KAI
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCU
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FCU
1 - 2
KOL
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
3 - 2
FCU
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
COT
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |