VfB Oldenburg vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ENO
1 - 3
VFB
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
5 - 0
BER
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
STP
2 - 2
VFB
59%
23%
19%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
4 - 2
LUB
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
HEE
3 - 0
VFB
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
HOL
4 - 0
SVL
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
OBE
0 - 1
HOL
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
HOL
8 - 0
OSS
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
CLO
1 - 1
HOL
28%
26%
45%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
HOL
2 - 0
HUL
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |