VfB Krieschow vs Bischofswerdaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
2º
46
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
BUD
3 - 3
VFB
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VFB
5 - 1
WIS
59%
19%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 1
VFB
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
8 - 2
SVB
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 2
VFB
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 2
BIS
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
2 - 0
BIS
13%
20%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
1 - 0
UNI
78%
14%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RSV
1 - 2
BIS
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BIS
0 - 0
AUE
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |