Oberliga NRW Round 7

Homberg vs Westfalia Rhynern analysis

Homberg Westfalia Rhynern
29 ELO 27
14.3% Tilt 3.3%
3515º General ELO ranking 4838º
155º Country ELO ranking 232º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Homberg
18.7%
Draw
16.1%
Westfalia Rhynern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Homberg
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.1%
Win probability
Westfalia Rhynern
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Homberg
-6%
+9%
Westfalia Rhynern

ELO progression

Homberg
Westfalia Rhynern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Homberg
Homberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
3 - 1
Homberg
VFB
56%
23%
22%
31 36 5 0
12 Sep. 2010
VFB
Homberg
1 - 1
Velbert
VEL
37%
24%
39%
31 38 7 0
05 Sep. 2010
VFB
Homberg
5 - 3
Alemannia Aachen II
AAA
32%
25%
43%
28 38 10 +3
29 Aug. 2010
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 0
Homberg
VFB
68%
19%
13%
28 37 9 0
13 Aug. 2010
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
1 - 0
Homberg
VFB
76%
17%
8%
29 55 26 -1

Matches

Westfalia Rhynern
Westfalia Rhynern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
2 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
25 37 12 0
05 Sep. 2010
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
2 - 2
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
16%
23%
62%
25 55 30 0
29 Aug. 2010
WHE
Westfalia Herne
2 - 2
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
73%
17%
11%
24 37 13 +1
22 Aug. 2010
WER
Westfalia Rhynern
3 - 3
Speldorf
SPE
24%
24%
52%
23 39 16 +1
15 Aug. 2010
WEG
Wegberg-Beeck
2 - 0
Westfalia Rhynern
WER
25%
23%
52%
25 15 10 -2