Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BER
1 - 0
VFB
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 2
WER
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
1 - 1
VEL
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VFB
5 - 3
AAA
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROT
18%
25%
57%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
WHE
2 - 2
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
SPE
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
WEG
1 - 2
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |