Homberg vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BER
6 - 0
VFB
64%
21%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 4
HUL
35%
25%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 0
VFB
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 5
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ERN
2 - 1
VFB
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 1
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 1
BER
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
KFC
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 0
ERN
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |