Homberg vs SC Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 5
VFB
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
FCB
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
11%
17%
72%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VFB
3 - 3
HIL
80%
13%
8%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 4
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
2 - 4
NET
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
JDH
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 0
VEL
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 3
FCB
41%
24%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DUS
3 - 1
VEL
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |