Homberg vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
VFB
16%
20%
63%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 0
KRA
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
MEE
2 - 1
VFB
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
VFB
2 - 0
VFB
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VFB
0 - 0
NET
86%
10%
5%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 1
BOR
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
OFC
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ROT
4 - 6
HOM
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
VFR
2 - 4
ROT
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
KRA
1 - 3
ROT
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |