Homberg vs Mülheimer FC 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
15º
5º
37
9º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
DJK
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 0
VFB
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 0
SON
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NET
3 - 1
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 1
HIL
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
4 - 2
FCB
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
MFC
68%
17%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
GRA
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 1
MFC
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
MFC
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |