VESTA vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SVV
0 - 1
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 1
SVV
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SVV
0 - 1
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
SVV
4 - 1
DOM
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SVV
1 - 1
UND
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 1
UND
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
UND
1 - 5
BAR
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
UND
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 4
UND
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SVV
1 - 1
UND
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |