VESTA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SVV
3 - 1
DOM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
SVV
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2007 |
HUB
1 - 1
SVV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2007 |
SVV
3 - 3
COL
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
HOL
1 - 3
SVV
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SUB
0 - 2
HOL
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
SUB
3 - 1
HUB
27%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 0
SUB
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
1 - 2
UND
28%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
0 - 2
SIT
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |