VESTA vs SITHOC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 0
SVV
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SVV
1 - 3
HUB
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 0
SVV
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SVV
0 - 3
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 1
SVV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SITHOC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
SIT
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SIT
0 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SUB
1 - 0
SIT
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SIT
1 - 0
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 0
HOL
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |