Verolese 1911 vs Castel D Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verolese 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VOB
0 - 4
VER
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VER
1 - 1
CAL
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
VER
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
BED
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GOV
1 - 1
VER
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castel D Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
GUS
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 2
BOR
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |