Verl vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
HAU
0 - 0
VER
42%
26%
31%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
VER
0 - 3
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
VER
2 - 1
EIN
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
PRE
0 - 0
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
VER
4 - 2
AAA
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 0
PRE
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
AAA
3 - 2
HOM
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 0
FCR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1996 |
ELV
1 - 3
HOM
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
HOM
2 - 3
FCB
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |