Verl vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
3 - 1
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
DIE
0 - 1
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VER
1 - 2
ROT
32%
26%
41%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
WAT
3 - 2
VER
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
VER
0 - 1
PRE
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2003 |
HOL
1 - 1
ROT
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WAT
0 - 1
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
BAB
1 - 4
HOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
HOL
0 - 0
PRE
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
3 - 1
HOL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |