Verl vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
VER
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VER
67%
20%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
VER
5 - 1
BOC
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
KÖL
28%
25%
48%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WUP
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 3
KÖL
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |