Verl vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LIP
2 - 3
VER
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VER
2 - 2
SVE
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
VER
4 - 1
WHE
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
3 - 2
VER
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VER
2 - 2
GUT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 0
RWA
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
BOR
2 - 0
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
FBI
1 - 3
BOR
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
BOR
4 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
GUT
1 - 2
BOR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |