Verl vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
MSV
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VIK
2 - 2
VER
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
VER
4 - 1
WIE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
S04
1 - 0
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
BOC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
SPO
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
BOC
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOC
2 - 1
WUP
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |