Verges vs Calongue B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
VER
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 4
VER
28%
23%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VER
2 - 1
SMF
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
JAF
1 - 2
VER
27%
22%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VER
2 - 0
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calongue B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 6
BAS
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARM
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
CAL
51%
22%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
PAT
43%
23%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAL
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |