Verges vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
VER
57%
20%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VER
2 - 1
MON
44%
21%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EMP
1 - 1
VER
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
VER
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VER
4 - 1
BRS
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
7 - 1
POR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BRS
0 - 1
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 3
PAT
91%
6%
2%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 3
BEL
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
BAS
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |