Ventspils vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 4
VEN
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VEN
2 - 0
FKJ
53%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GUL
0 - 4
VEN
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKS
1 - 2
VEN
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 1
VEN
39%
24%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FCD
5 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FCS
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |