Sudamericano U20 Final Fase de Grupos. Jor. 5

Venezuela U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis

Venezuela U20 Ecuador U20
58 ELO 63
0.3% Tilt -5.3%
2495º General ELO ranking 19429º
18º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Venezuela U20
25.4%
Draw
34.3%
Ecuador U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
Venezuela U20
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.2%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Venezuela U20
-3%
-9%
Ecuador U20

ELO progression

Venezuela U20
Ecuador U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venezuela U20
Venezuela U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2019
VEN
Venezuela U20
0 - 2
Colombia U20
COL
34%
26%
40%
61 68 7 0
05 Feb. 2019
VEN
Venezuela U20
0 - 3
Argentina U20
ARG
20%
24%
56%
61 79 18 0
02 Feb. 2019
VEN
Venezuela U20
2 - 0
Brazil U20s
BRA
17%
23%
61%
59 81 22 +2
30 Jan. 2019
VEN
Venezuela U20
1 - 1
Uruguay U20
URY
25%
25%
50%
59 72 13 0
23 Jan. 2019
BOL
Bolivia U20
0 - 1
Venezuela U20
VEN
19%
24%
57%
58 44 14 +1

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Feb. 2019
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 0
Brazil U20s
BRA
18%
23%
59%
61 80 19 0
04 Feb. 2019
ECU
Ecuador U20
1 - 0
Colombia U20
COL
31%
27%
43%
60 69 9 +1
01 Feb. 2019
ECU
Ecuador U20
0 - 1
Uruguay U20
URY
26%
26%
48%
61 72 11 -1
29 Jan. 2019
ECU
Ecuador U20
2 - 1
Argentina U20
ARG
17%
23%
61%
59 79 20 +2
24 Jan. 2019
PER
Peru U20
1 - 3
Ecuador U20
ECU
42%
26%
33%
58 58 0 +1
X