Venezia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
VNZ
2 - 3
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 0
VNZ
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SPE
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
VNZ
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 3
LEC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NUO
1 - 1
LIV
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 1
CRO
13%
24%
63%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LIV
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
LIV
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |