VELO vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VOC
2 - 1
VEL
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
SJC
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 4
VEL
52%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
4 - 1
GDA
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
POO
2 - 1
VEL
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
IFC
2 - 1
ZWE
79%
12%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IFC
1 - 1
VOC
43%
21%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POO
0 - 1
IFC
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IFC
1 - 1
WAT
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 2
IFC
22%
20%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |