VELO vs DHC Delft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-99%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
3º
1
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
62.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
62.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 0
VEL
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 2
SVH
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FSP
1 - 1
VEL
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 0
DSO
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
VEL
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
DHC Delft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 7
UVS
20%
19%
60%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NOO
13 - 0
DEL
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 2
SVW
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HVV
4 - 1
DEL
15%
16%
69%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VOO
4 - 1
DEL
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |