Vélez CF vs Maracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALQ
2 - 0
VEL
32%
25%
44%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 0
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
RON
4 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
HUE
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATA
2 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
ANT
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |