Vélez C vs Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 3
VEL
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VEL
3 - 0
CDV
33%
21%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CDP
5 - 0
VEL
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
CDC
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CDB
3 - 0
VEL
40%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CDV
2 - 1
GUA
31%
20%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
6 - 1
CDC
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 2
GUA
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 2
ASE
41%
22%
37%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 0
GUA
64%
18%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |