Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
BSC
2 - 0
VEL
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
VEL
4 - 0
MSV
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
AAA
3 - 3
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 4
USO
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
VEL
3 - 3
SWE
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
VFB
5 - 1
WUP
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCJ
4 - 3
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VFB
1 - 1
KFC
29%
25%
47%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
DUS
4 - 1
VFB
27%
24%
50%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 1
SWE
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |