Velbert vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
VEL
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 2
VEL
60%
20%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WEG
2 - 6
VEL
25%
21%
54%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 2
WAT
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
WEG
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 1
VER
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
ERN
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
ROD
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 0
VER
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |