Velbert vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SWE
0 - 2
VEL
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 0
HNI
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
KFI
2 - 2
VEL
35%
22%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
VFB
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
HIL
1 - 4
VEL
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HNI
0 - 3
KRA
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
1 - 1
VFB
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DUS
1 - 0
KRA
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
1 - 4
KFC
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 1
KRA
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |