Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
HNI
2 - 1
VEL
16%
19%
65%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 1
KFI
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
MSV
2 - 4
VEL
23%
22%
56%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
DUS
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SFB
1 - 5
VEL
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DIE
1 - 1
KOL
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 2
DIE
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
H05
54%
22%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
WAT
5 - 1
DIE
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 0
SPO
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |