Velbert vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 3
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
ABI
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 3
VEL
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
WHE
0 - 3
VEL
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 0
HUL
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
WAT
3 - 0
HAM
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 1
SPO
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 1
HAM
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 1
MSV
30%
23%
48%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |