Velbert vs FC Bocholt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BFR
0 - 2
VEL
23%
22%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
WUP
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 4
VEL
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
DUR
0 - 0
VEL
23%
22%
55%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 2
KLE
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bocholt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 1
DUS
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
YUK
0 - 1
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 1
SWE
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BSC
0 - 0
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FCB
5 - 2
MSV
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |