Velbert vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FCB
0 - 3
VEL
21%
19%
60%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
KAP
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPO
46%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
RWO
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 4
WIE
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
KAP
4 - 0
CRO
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 2
SCH
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
WUP
20%
22%
59%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SFN
3 - 2
CRO
30%
21%
50%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CRO
7 - 0
RAT
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |