Velbert vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 3
VEL
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAY
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 1
VEL
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
VEL
3 - 2
VIK
16%
22%
63%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 2
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
AAA
1 - 0
KFC
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 0
AAA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AAA
2 - 3
FOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 1
AAA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
AAA
3 - 1
WIE
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |