Velbazhd vs Kostinbrod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbazhd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIL
2 - 2
VEL
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
SEP
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
0 - 3
VEL
30%
23%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
HEB
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MES
2 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kostinbrod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
KOS
1 - 0
SEP
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
HEB
1 - 1
KOS
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 1
KOS
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
KOS
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
KOS
0 - 2
OBO
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |