Velarde CF vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+106%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NOJ
3 - 1
VEL
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 1
TEX
80%
15%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PON
1 - 1
VEL
22%
27%
51%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
DEV
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RIB
1 - 1
VEL
31%
28%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ESC
2 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
TRO
1 - 1
ESC
66%
22%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ESC
0 - 0
ALB
46%
27%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RAY
3 - 1
ESC
52%
25%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
66%
21%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |