Velarde CF vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
REO
0 - 1
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 3
TRO
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 4
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
VEL
3 - 2
SOL
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 0
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ESC
4 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
CAS
0 - 2
GIM
17%
24%
59%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CAY
2 - 3
CAS
23%
27%
50%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |