Velarde CF vs C. Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BEZ
3 - 0
VEL
81%
14%
6%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 6
REO
16%
24%
60%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CAY
2 - 0
VEL
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 3
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
4 - 0
VEL
47%
25%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CGU
1 - 1
REO
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CGU
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 4
GIM
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LAR
1 - 1
CGU
73%
18%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 5
NOJ
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |