Vejgaard vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vejgaard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AAF
2 - 1
VEJ
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
JAM
3 - 2
VEJ
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
HOB
4 - 1
VEJ
54%
22%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
VEJ
3 - 1
RAN
25%
21%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
1 - 1
VEJ
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
THI
2 - 0
ODD
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
AAL
2 - 1
THI
6%
15%
79%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 2
THI
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
THI
2 - 3
LFA
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 3
THI
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |